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Cover of A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities

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A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities

oleh Pierre Simon Laplace · 18 bagian · about 4 hours 21 minutes waktu membaca

Finn, your Starvard guide

Halo, nama saya Finn, dan saya akan membantu kamu memahami buku ini.

Ini dia, dijelaskan seperti untuk anak usia 10 tahun:

Dahulu, orang menyalahkan keberuntungan, takdir, dan dewa yang marah atas hal-hal yang tidak mereka pahami. Laplace, pemikir besar Prancis, mengatakan kita bisa berbuat lebih baik. Dalam buku ini ia menjelaskan, dengan kata-kata sederhana dan hampir tanpa hitungan sulit, bagaimana peluang sebenarnya bekerja. Ia melihat permainan, juri dan pemungutan suara, berapa lama orang hidup, dan mengapa kita begitu sering menipu diri sendiri tentang keberuntungan.

Tentang Finn >

Buku lengkapnya dibaca dalam bahasa Inggris. Ini semua babnya:

Bab

Chapter 1: Introduction1 min Chapter 2: Concerning Probability10 min Chapter 3: The General Principles of the Calculus of Probabilities12 min Chapter 4: Concerning Hope7 min Chapter 5: Concerning the Analytical Methods of the Calculus of Probabilities39 min Chapter 6: Games of Chance3 min Chapter 7: Concerning the Unknown Inequalities Which May Exist Among Chances Which Are Supposed Equal5 min Chapter 8: Concerning the Laws of Probability Which Result from the Indefinite Multiplication of Events18 min Chapter 9: The Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to Natural Philosophy47 min Chapter 10: Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to the Moral Sciences2 min Chapter 11: Concerning the Probabilities of Testimonies23 min Chapter 12: Concerning the Selections and the Decisions of Assemblies7 min Chapter 13: Concerning the Probability of the Judgments of Tribunals11 min Chapter 14: Concerning Tables of Mortality, and of Mean Durations of Life, of Marriages, and of Associations12 min Chapter 15: Concerning the Benefits of Institutions Which Depend Upon the Probability of Events14 min Chapter 16: Concerning Illusions in the Estimation of Probabilities22 min Chapter 17: Concerning the Various Means of Approaching Certainty12 min Chapter 18: Historical Notice Concerning the Calculus of Probabilities16 min