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Cover of A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities

Starvard · The Masters Library

A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities

di Pierre Simon Laplace · 18 parti · about 4 hours 21 minutes di lettura

Finn, your Starvard guide

Ciao, mi chiamo Finn e ti aiuterò a capire questo libro.

Eccolo, spiegato come se avessi 10 anni:

Molto tempo fa, le persone incolpavano fortuna, fato e dei arrabbiati per cose che non capivano. Laplace, un grande pensatore francese, disse che possiamo fare meglio. In questo libro spiega, con parole chiare e quasi senza calcoli difficili, come funziona davvero il caso. Guarda giochi, giurie e voti, quanto vivono le persone, e perché così spesso inganniamo noi stessi sulla fortuna.

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Il libro completo si legge in inglese. Ecco tutti i capitoli:

Capitoli

Chapter 1: Introduction1 min Chapter 2: Concerning Probability10 min Chapter 3: The General Principles of the Calculus of Probabilities12 min Chapter 4: Concerning Hope7 min Chapter 5: Concerning the Analytical Methods of the Calculus of Probabilities39 min Chapter 6: Games of Chance3 min Chapter 7: Concerning the Unknown Inequalities Which May Exist Among Chances Which Are Supposed Equal5 min Chapter 8: Concerning the Laws of Probability Which Result from the Indefinite Multiplication of Events18 min Chapter 9: The Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to Natural Philosophy47 min Chapter 10: Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to the Moral Sciences2 min Chapter 11: Concerning the Probabilities of Testimonies23 min Chapter 12: Concerning the Selections and the Decisions of Assemblies7 min Chapter 13: Concerning the Probability of the Judgments of Tribunals11 min Chapter 14: Concerning Tables of Mortality, and of Mean Durations of Life, of Marriages, and of Associations12 min Chapter 15: Concerning the Benefits of Institutions Which Depend Upon the Probability of Events14 min Chapter 16: Concerning Illusions in the Estimation of Probabilities22 min Chapter 17: Concerning the Various Means of Approaching Certainty12 min Chapter 18: Historical Notice Concerning the Calculus of Probabilities16 min