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Cover of A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities

Starvard · The Masters Library

A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities

ni Pierre Simon Laplace · 18 bahagi · about 4 hours 21 minutes ng pagbabasa

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Noong unang panahon, sinisi ng mga tao ang suwerte, tadhana, at galit na mga diyos sa mga bagay na hindi nila naiintindihan. Sinabi ni Laplace, isang dakilang palaisip na Pranses, na kaya nating gumawa nang mas mabuti. Sa aklat na ito, ipinaliliwanag niya, sa malinaw na salita at halos walang mahihirap na bilang, kung paano talaga gumagana ang pagkakataon. Tinitingnan niya ang mga laro, ang mga hurado at boto, kung gaano katagal nabubuhay ang mga tao, at kung bakit madalas nating niloloko ang sarili natin tungkol sa suwerte.

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Ang buong libro ay binabasa sa Ingles. Narito ang lahat ng mga kabanata:

Mga Kabanata

Chapter 1: Introduction1 min Chapter 2: Concerning Probability10 min Chapter 3: The General Principles of the Calculus of Probabilities12 min Chapter 4: Concerning Hope7 min Chapter 5: Concerning the Analytical Methods of the Calculus of Probabilities39 min Chapter 6: Games of Chance3 min Chapter 7: Concerning the Unknown Inequalities Which May Exist Among Chances Which Are Supposed Equal5 min Chapter 8: Concerning the Laws of Probability Which Result from the Indefinite Multiplication of Events18 min Chapter 9: The Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to Natural Philosophy47 min Chapter 10: Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to the Moral Sciences2 min Chapter 11: Concerning the Probabilities of Testimonies23 min Chapter 12: Concerning the Selections and the Decisions of Assemblies7 min Chapter 13: Concerning the Probability of the Judgments of Tribunals11 min Chapter 14: Concerning Tables of Mortality, and of Mean Durations of Life, of Marriages, and of Associations12 min Chapter 15: Concerning the Benefits of Institutions Which Depend Upon the Probability of Events14 min Chapter 16: Concerning Illusions in the Estimation of Probabilities22 min Chapter 17: Concerning the Various Means of Approaching Certainty12 min Chapter 18: Historical Notice Concerning the Calculus of Probabilities16 min